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Dick Faurot's Weather Blog: Quiet Weather Through Thanksgiving Day and Beyond

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Notice the first map, courtesy of the OK Mesonet, which shows the total rainfall from this past weekend. We were expecting a good soaking for many locations and that is indeed what occurred except for the more northern and NW counties which largely missed out. And as you can see from the second map which is the 7 day QPF, our prospects for any additional moisture during that period are pretty much in the slim to none category.

This is due to the very amplified pattern aloft that has prevailed over the last couple of weeks breaking down into a more zonal or W-E flow. This tends to keep the main storm systems further north and also the colder air further north as well. Notice the third map, also courtesy of the OK Mesonet, which shows the max/min temperatures for today. Certainly cooler than yesterday, but actually pretty close to normal for this time of year.

Tonight and Tuesday will likely be the coolest of this forecast cycle as drier air was brought in by today's gusty NW/W winds. Those winds will be very light by morning which together with generally fair skies should result in morning lows in the 20s. Light winds will be the rule for much of the day eventually shifting around to a more SE direction. Together with lots of sunshine, that will make for a rather pleasant although cool day with daytime temperatures running a few degrees below normal and generally in the lower 50s.

Another dry cool front will arrive on Wednesday shifting our winds back to the NW with gusts to 20 mph or more at times keeping us mild and dry. Just a few clouds are expected with that system and there is no mention of precipitation. That will set the stage for a pleasant Thanksgiving Day with lots of sunshine to warm us back into the 50s after starting the morning off near 30. A light NE wind that morning will be followed by a light SE wind to end the day.

Stronger southerly winds will then return for Friday and Saturday along with much warmer temperatures. In fact, daytime highs should be well into the 60s on Friday and could make it to 70 on Saturday.

Another dry cold front looks to be headed our way sometime Sunday, but our prospects for any really stormy weather still look to be delayed until later next week. Notice the last two maps which extend out to 8-14 days and it is obvious the longer range guidance is certainly trending towards very mild and mostly dry conditions for us throughout that time period.

So, stay tuned and check back for updates.

Dick Faurot

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