The mid-level low is still near the southern and central plains this morning as it moves east to northeast away from the area later this afternoon. This should keep scattered showers near the eastern third of the state today, but the higher coverage may end up this morning through about the noon hour. Temperatures should remain cool with highs in the upper 50s into the lower 60s. Another upper level low will quickly become the focus for additional showers and storm chances for the extended forecast.
The upper air flow will quickly bring a developing upper level low across the Pacific Northwest and into the four corners region during the next 36 hours. This low is expected to become “cut-off" from the main upper level flow and will remain to our west for several days. A few showers or storms will be possible Wednesday and Thursday with the low to the west, but the higher chances will arrive Friday into Saturday as the low finally gets a shove eastward.
Model output suggests a few things should happen as the low begins moving eastward. A surface front should move across the state sometime Thursday into Friday with north wind an increase in thunderstorm activity Thursday night into Friday. The threat for severe weather appears low, and mainly to the south or west.
Friday the main upper level low begins moving eastward. A surface area of low pressure is expected to rapidly develop somewhere across the southern plains. Late Friday night as the upper level low lifts out over central and eastern OK, the surface low should also lift northeast into the state. This will bring rain and storms back to the region Friday night into Saturday. Most of northeastern OK should be on the “back side" of this low by Saturday morning to afternoon. The low will lift northeast away from the state Saturday night into Sunday morning with improving weather Sunday afternoon.
Temperatures will remain cool today with highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s. Temperatures for the rest of the week should support cool mornings and mild afternoons.
Thanks for reading the Tuesday morning weather discussion and blog.
Have a super great day!
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