Alan Crone's Weather Blog: Cold, But Improving Conditions This Weekend

The central plains wave is moving away from the state this morning but the next stronger wave is ejecting out of the intermountain region and will dive south before lifting east to northeast.   This is the system that will eventually blossom into a major winter storm across the mid-Atlantic and east coast.   Our weather will be characterized by cloudy and cold conditions again today with highs in the 30s.   There will remain a low chance of light precipitation across the area and a low chance of light snow flurries or showers will remain a possibility later tonight as the system leaves the area.  Rain will be likely today across far southeastern OK and northeast Texas.  After this system exits our state later tonight we’ll see gradually improving conditions Friday and a noticeable improvement this weekend.

WARN Interactive Radar

This morning the tail end of the central plains wave is brushing far northeastern OK and southeastern Kansas where temperatures remain near or below freezing.   Some minor icing is possible along the state line region, not only along the Kansas state line, bu also the NE OK and NW Arkansas region.   Some light wintry precip is leaving this area as I post this discussion.   A short-term winter weather advisory is up now for these areas but no longer be in effect by the time most folks read this post.

As this wave rapidly lifts northeast, the next system will arrive around midday to afternoon with a chance of rain developing across southern and southeastern OK.    Temperatures near the metro should “warm” into the mid-30s at midday.   Any light precip or drizzle shouldn’t have a big impact.   Later this afternoon the surface low that will be developing across Central TX and will gain strength but also begin moving ENE.   Colder air will filter around the low and move back across northeastern OK later this afternoon and evening.   Some residual moisture may flip to some light snow showers before quickly ending later tonight.   The probability remains low but not zero.  This entire system will be east of the state by 10pm tonight.   The impacts of any additional flurries later this afternoon or evening will be minor.

Temperatures Friday morning will start in the 20s and end in the mid to upper 30s with decreasing clouds and some partly sunny conditions.   

The weekend starts in the upper teens and lower 20s Saturday with highs in the mid-40s.  Increasing south winds Sunday will signal a minor, yet noticeable, warm-up with lows in the mid-30s and highs in the mid to upper 50s.   Another cold front will move across the state Monday with north winds and dropping temperatures.   We’ll carry only a slight chance of light precipitation Monday morning to midday across far northeastern OK and southeastern Kansas.

In the short term, we’ll have a slight chance of some light drizzle-mist and fog this morning through midday.   Rain will be likely across far southeastern OK.  Later this afternoon and evening, a few snow showers will be possible across part of eastern OK. 

Thanks for reading the Thursday Morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone

KOTV