Monday, May 6th 2024, 9:43 am
A powerful storm system influences a large area of the southern, central, and northern plains states bringing severe weather threats later Monday afternoon into the evening hours.
Significant severe weather is likely with this system including large hail, damaging winds, and possibly long track and strong tornadoes for a few locations.
Severe weather threats are expected for part of Northeastern OK with this storm system by later Monday afternoon, continuing into the evening, and possibly for a few overnight hours before shifting away from the region. All modes of severe weather will be possible.
Another moderately strong disturbance arrives Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning with additional severe weather threats along and southeast of I-44 starting Wednesday morning and continuing through the afternoon.
After the front moves across the area Wednesday morning to afternoon, we're expecting a break for a few days with cooler and drier air arriving across the state.
A surface ridge of high pressure will settle near the northern OK vicinity Thursday into Friday bringing sunshine, light winds, and below normal, yet pleasant weather.
A disturbance may be near the state for part of the weekend that could bring a few showers yet with cooler weather remaining. We'll have more on this scenario Tuesday.
A powerful upper-level system will be near the region Monday. Strong southeast surface winds from 15 to 30 mph will continue bringing ample low-level moisture into the state with afternoon highs reaching the upper 70s to lower 80s across the eastern third of the state.
A dry line will be positioned across far western OK with increasing instability along and east of this feature by this afternoon and evening.
A weak mid-level cap is expected to suppress any surface-based thunderstorm activity this morning to midday, but a few areas of scattered storms will be possible this afternoon across eastern OK, including a low-threat of severe storms.
By 3pm to 5pm, discrete supercell storms will attempt to develop along and east of the dry line across west central to northwestern OK. As strong upper-level winds arrive over the region, deep layer and speed shear will increase allowing storms to rapidly become severe. These discrete storms will have the greater potential for producing very large hail and possibly a strong, long track tornado.
Later in the evening, storms will be more likely to congeal into at least one or possibly a few line segments and move eastward transitioning to a damaging wind threat with some embedded tornadic activity.
Due to recent heavy rainfall, flooding is possible in a few locations. Streams and creeks will also rise again over the next few days.
We're encouraging you to remain aware of your weather surroundings tonight as this system nears your area. Be sure to have a severe weather safety plan in place in case warnings are issued for your area.
Northeast Oklahoma has various power companies and electric co-operatives, many with overlapping areas of coverage. Below is a link to various outage maps.
Indian Electric Cooperative (IEC) Outage Map
Oklahoma Association of Electric Cooperatives Outage Map - (Note Several Smaller Co-ops Included)
The Alan Crone morning weather podcast link from Spotify:
https://open.spotify.com/episode/5j0ovActG8BZCOTqZQzrfU
The Alan Crone morning weather podcast link from Apple:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/weather-out-the-door/id1499556141?i=1000646589555
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May 6th, 2024