Alan Crone's Weather Blog: Warming Trend Begins

Warming temperatures and dry conditions will prevail for the next few days but southerly surface flow will increase low level moisture across eastern OK.   Consequently, the temperature heat index values will climb into the mid-90s Thursday and possibly the upper 90s through the weekend.   The main upper level ridge will slide east of the area late this weekend into next week allowing for a trough to bring a chance for organized showers and storms back into the area from Sunday into several days next week.   Temperatures late next week may drop to seasonal averages. 

The upper air flow remains from the northwest to southeast across the area but will transition to more a zonal flow soon and to a southwesterly flow early next week.   GFS and EURO data both bring a trough near the area Tuesday but some significant differences remain regarding the exact positioning of the main trough.   The GFS is more south while the EURO is north.   This would lead to some differences in our ongoing forecast for the middle of next week, but at this point, I see no need to change.  We may see an isolated storm or two this weekend across eastern OK but the higher chances will remain for next week beginning Monday and continuing until at least Wednesday.    Some of our neighbors in far western OK may experience a few isolated showers or storms today.  We’ll see some high clouds on occasion across eastern OK today but sunshine should be the dominant sky feature.

Temperatures today will move into the upper 80s and lower 90s across eastern OK and may remain in the lower 90s for the next few days.   Some of the WRF-products are slightly higher than my forecast for today (92-94) but I’ll keep a high of 91 on the map for the metro.   

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Morning lows will be in the upper 50s and lower 60s this morning, but will be in the upper 60s and lower 70s Thursday  and then into the lower 70s through early next week.   South winds return today at 5 to 12 mph but will be slowly increasing speeds each day through the extended period.   South winds from 15 to 25 mph will be possible this weekend into early next week. 

Thanks for reading the Wednesday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone