A few scattered showers can’t be ruled out this morning across part of northern Oklahoma and the surrounding areas but it seems unlikely for most locations.
A weak boundary is draped across the far northern areas and should slowly lift northward with warm and humid weather persisting for most of the state this week. The northwest flow will bring another fast-moving disturbance near the area Tuesday night into Wednesday with a slight increase in thunderstorm potential for the northern sections. We’ve had this pop at 30 percent for the last few days and I see no real reason to deviate at this point. While the threat for significant severe weather is almost zero with this system, a few marginally strong to severe storms can’t totally be ruled out. After all, it is May! Yet the more concentrated forcing for this system will remain north and east of our immediate areas.
The upper air flow flattens Thursday and Friday, but breaks down quickly with a weak southwest flow developing this weekend as another upper level closed type low system moves from the inter mountain four corners region into the central and northern plains Saturday and Sunday. We’ll probably need some low pops Saturday evening, but higher chances will arrive Sunday as the system pushes a surface front into the region. We should see a temp drop Sunday with northwest winds and highs back into the 70s.
In summary, warm weather will remain for the next few days with temps above the seasonal average. We’ll stay in the mid to upper 80s for the week with some locations near the 90 mark. Our neighbors in southwestern and western Oklahoma will be near 100.
Thanks for reading the Monday morning weather discussion and blog.