The front moved across the area earlier this morning and will be located well southeast of the metro at after the early morning hours. Post frontal rain has developed and is spreading across the region along with a few rumbles of thunder or lightning strikes. Severe weather will not occur with this system. Temps will level off in the 50s for the next several hours but may rebound later this afternoon into the upper 50s before dropping again by early evening into the lower 50s. Basically, we’re in store for a chilly day for many locations across eastern Oklahoma. Most of the rain will be ending after the midday period, but a few lingering showers may still be possible across far eastern Oklahoma or western Arkansas later this afternoon and early evening. Another fast-moving system arrives late Thursday night into Friday morning with a small chance for a few showers or t-storms but the coverage is expected to remain rather low. The weekend appears dry and with a warming trend as the upper pattern will change. The reasoning for next week hasn’t changed compared to yesterday at this hour. The pattern will be changing this weekend into early next week and will eventually bring active weather aback into the southern and central plains, including the threat of strong to severe storms.
The upper level pattern is expected to change this weekend into next week. A major trough will deepen across the western U.S. as a southwesterly flow aloft pattern develops across the southern and central plains. This pattern will bring us a few chances for storms next week, including the threats of strong to severe thunderstorms for part of the state. Again, this is based on the pattern recognition and not any individual model specifics at this point. We’ll be refining the forecast for next week as the data and time draws closer to the southern plains, but we do eventually anticipate active weather with storm chances increasing later next week.
Thanks for reading the Wednesday morning weather discussion and blog.