Cold start this morning! Some temperatures have dipped below freezing but it won't last long today is the start of a noticeable warming trend. We should have 5-star weather this afternoon. Sunshine, light winds and pleasant highs in the mid 60s.
Enjoy the weather today but don't forget sunscreen! The UV Index forecast today will be close to a 6. On a scale of 1 to 11+, 6 is considered high and it's important to protect you skin. Wear 30 SPF sunscreen or higher, a hat and sunglasses. Especially protect those with sensitive skin. The time it takes to get a sunburn for today and tomorrow could be a little as 30 minutes during the peak hours of 10 AM to 4 PM.
More clouds moving in tonight. We might see a brief shower Thursday morning but chances are very low. Temperatures in the morning in the mid 40s. Sunshine again tomorrow afternoon with a few clouds. Stronger south winds and highs in the mid 70s with high fire danger.
The risk of out-of-control grass fires today is low, but fire danger increases again for Thursday, Friday and Saturday. Wind speeds and temperatures will rise which will allow for faster fire spread rates. Fire fuels have dried out and our next chance for rain will be later into the weekend. Afternoon highs will climb from the 60s today into the 70s tomorrow. Low level moisture and clouds will begin to stream northward on Friday but we'll still keep fire danger moderate to high. Highs have been lowered to near 70 for Friday afternoon.
The first chance for rain this weekend will be overnight Friday into Saturday morning. Moisture will start moving back into Oklahoma tomorrow but the forcing for showers and storms shouldn't arrive until Friday. A surface low will start to deepen over the Rockies as an upper level wave swings in. The latest track, keeps most of the precipitation to our north and east near a surface warm front. Very late Friday a low-level jet will strengthen over eastern Oklahoma and this would be our main window for showers and storms. If we get anything at all, it would most likely be in our far eastern counties. A cool front will swing through by Saturday morning with this system. Light north winds on Saturday but we should still get into the upper 70s in the afternoon.
The next storm system will start to impact us on Sunday. A warm front will start to lift north with showers and storms breaking out. A few storms could be strong to severe later in the day. Another round of showers and storms will be possible on Monday. A surface low will be move along a cold front and drop into the area by Tuesday. This will increase our shower and storm chances across the area. This could be a slow-moving storm system with the front moving in early Tuesday and not moving out until Wednesday night. If this system ends up sticking around, we could get some very heavy rainfall. Heavy rain would set up along the slow-moving front. Some of the storms especially along and ahead of the front could be strong to severe. An upper level low will park to our southwest sending waves of energy our way all week long starting on Sunday. This means we are looking at a wet and active week ahead.