The warmer weather we experienced over the weekend will basically continue for the entire week. But with some scattered showers and storms near the area by midweek, we'll expect some reduction in temps due to the influence of cloud cover and some precipitation.
A weak front will enter the northern sections Tuesday night into Wednesday but will more than likely stall to our north. As low-level moisture returns across eastern OK we'll start to see some scattered showers and storms developing in a few locations Tuesday but the best chance will be Wednesday across southern Kansas and northern Oklahoma due to the proximity of the front. The boundary should lift northward Thursday into most of the weekend with the continuation of the warm weather into the weekend.
This front should eventually move southward either this weekend or early next week bringing additional storm chances along with a return to some fall-like weather. The boundary briefly inter northern Oklahoma late Friday night into Saturday morning with a round of storms before the front stalls and lift northward again Saturday afternoon. By Sunday night into Monday morning the front should have better support for a southward push with increasing thunderstorm chances and much cooler air into early next week.
Strong gusty south winds are likely today and tomorrow but may reduce slightly Wednesday. Highs today will remain in the mid to upper 80s this afternoon with some sunshine.
The main upper level pattern supports a mid-level ridge of high pressure near us today but sliding southward tonight into Tuesday as a western trough remains rather broad. A stronger upper level trough will develop across the pacific northwest and quickly move eastward across the nation Tuesday into Wednesday helping to bring some lifting to the southern and central plains. A surface low pressure area will form across southeastern Colorado or western Kansas Tuesday with the associated cold front moving southward into southern Kansas or far northern Oklahoma Wednesday morning to midday. As the above-mentioned trough ejects across the upper Midwest Thursday, the front should lift northward and become stationary for a few days into the weekend. Later into the weekend and next week the main polar jet is expected to migrate more southward and eventually will bring additional active weather to the plains. The front may enter northern Oklahoma Friday night into Saturday before finally moving southward Sunday night into Monday. This normal march southward of the main belt of westerlies will also eventually help to bring a very noticeable cool-down into early next week..
Thanks for reading the Monday morning weather discussion and blog.