The upper level ridge will flatten this afternoon and evening allowing a few storms to move southward into southern Kansas and possibly northern OK. The coverage is expected to remain low but a few locations may experience some storms during this window of opportunity.
Temperatures today are expected to remain very warm, possibly nearing 100 near the metro, with heat index values from 103 to 109. Heat advisories have been issued for portions of northern OK this afternoon and early evening.
The pattern is also likely to change next week that will allow for active weather and slightly lower temperatures to invade part of the state. As the mid-level ridge moves westward, the upper air flow will become from the northwest to southeast and move over the state for a few days next week. This will allow storm systems, fronts, and disturbances northwest of our area to move southeast into the state. The exact trajectory of any system for next week is hard to peg at this point, but the potential for a few rounds of storms will be in the forecast based on this pattern and the available guidance from current model data.
Temperatures will remain very warm this morning with lows near 80 and highs in the upper 90s along with sunshine and south winds. The heat index values today will range from 103 to 109 across part of the area.
A few storms will be possible later today and tonight into pre-dawn Friday across part of northern OK and southeastern Kansas. Friday morning temperatures are expected in the mid and upper 70s. Daytime highs in the mid to upper 90s are likely along with heat index values near 102.
The weekend forecast will keep lows in the mid-70s. Highs will be in the mid-90s with heat index values from 101 to 104.
Sunday a few storms will be possible across northern OK and southern Kansas. Monday into next week temperatures will be slightly lower with lows in the 70s and highs in the lower to mid-90s Monday for the early part of the week. Storm chances will remain from Sunday and continue for a few days next week.
Thanks for reading the Thursday morning weather discussion and blog.
Have a great day!