Tracking Memorial Day Storms

Good morning and welcome to Memorial Day.   I’ll save a little time this morning and briefly hit the highlights for the next few days. 

We’ll be expecting some scattered showers and storms again this morning into the first part of today with a weak disturbance near the area.   These should exit around mid-morning to noon or so with warm and muggy conditions prevailing this afternoon.   A few additional storms this afternoon can’t be ruled out but the chances appear low.   Again, that’s after the morning storms.

WARN Interactive Radar

The next big upper level system will pass across the northern high plains Tuesday and Wednesday while a smaller upper level trough is expected to develop across Texas Wednesday and Thursday.

The net impact will be the advancement of a surface cold front moving into the state Tuesday with additional storms likely Tuesday night into Wednesday.   A complex of storms may slide into northern OK Tuesday from the north during the morning to midday hours.   The rain and storm chances will also increase Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning as the front nears the state.  The deep layer shear is expected to be weak and this will limit the severe potential, but a few storms may briefly reach severe levels as the front moves closer to eastern Ok late Tuesday night.   The front is expected to stall across the Red River Valley Wednesday morning and could produce a few additional showers and storms across southeastern OK and north TX.   Eventually dry air will spread across the state from the northwest to southeast bringing stable air across eastern OK keeping most precipitation chances south of the metro Thursday and Friday.   But we are seeing signs of some additional chances for part of next weekend.  At this point, we’ll keep the chances low from Thursday into the weekend.

Weather Alerts

Temperatures today are expected in the mid-80s along with south winds near 10 to15 mph along with muggy conditions and partly to mostly cloudy sky.   Our temperatures will remain in the mid-80s for the remainder of the week with morning lows cooling a few degrees into the 60s Thursday morning into the weekend. 

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Thanks for reading the Monday morning abbreviated forecast discussion and blog.

Have a great day!

Alan Crone