Alan Crone's Weather Blog: Calming And Cooling Down

Thursday, March 31st 2016, 3:56 am
By: Alan Crone

By the time most folks read this post, the cold front will be located to the east of the state.   This will effectively end the precipitation chances for extreme eastern OK with the arrival of dry and stable air.   The “real” front will move across the metro around 4 am.

The upper air flow will drive a disturbance southward later tonight and this will bring even cooler air to the region for Friday.   A weak wave in the flow should develop some showers across northern TX or the high plains of TX Friday and this activity will tend to spread east and southeast.   Only the NAM data tries to bring the northern edge into southeastern OK Friday.   We’ll keep it more southward across part of northern TX.   In other words, I’m keeping the precip out of the forecast for Friday across southern OK. 

The next front that will enter the state should do so around Monday midday to afternoon but the lack of deep moisture in the atmosphere will keep any mention of showers or storms out of the forecast.

And yet another front may enter the state and slide southeast Wednesday night into Thursday.   This one may have a few showers or storms but the chance will remain very low.  This portion of the extended tends to change but we’ll use a 20 pop for Wednesday.

Temperatures this morning will start in the 50s ( after the frontal passage) along with northwest winds from 20 to 25 mph for the next few hours before they begin to diminish speed this afternoon.   Highs will be in the upper 60s north or in the lower 70s south with a few clouds this morning, some sun at midday to afternoon, and then a few more clouds overnight.

Friday morning temperatures will begin with lows in the upper 30s and lower 40s.   Daytime highs will be cooler along with northwest winds around 10 to 20 mph.   Maximum temperatures will stay in the upper 50s and lower 60s for northeastern OK and the mid-60s across the southeastern third of the state.

Saturday morning has the potential to start in the mid-30s along with some patchy frost in valley locations.   A few locations may briefly bottom out around freezing.   Highs Saturday should be near 70 along with light northwest winds near 10 mph.   Abundant sunshine will be in the forecast with the exception of a few clouds along the southeastern OK region.

Sunday signals a nice warm-up with lows in the lower 40s and highs in the upper 70s.   Southwest winds from 10 to 15 mph will be likely.   Monday morning starting in the lower 50s will allow a running head start for afternoon highs in the upper 70s or lower 80s.   The data this morning is faster with the Monday front, so I have knocked that 80 from yesterday down to 79.   Brr.    Tuesday should be windy with highs back into the mid or upper 70s with the slight chance of a storm Wednesday across eastern OK.

Thanks for reading the Thursday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone