Alan Crone's Weather Blog: Warm Now, Fall-Like Weather Ahead


Tuesday, September 29th 2015, 4:08 am
By: Alan Crone


It appears another “real deal” taste of fall weather will arrive at the end of this week and persist into the weekend.   The pattern will bring a few chances for showers to the area but the main impact will be much cooler temperatures Friday into the weekend.  

A disturbance across southeast TX will continue to provide a slight chance for showers today across southeastern OK and western Arkansas during the afternoon hours.   This chance will remain to the southeast of the metro and will be confined to the extreme southeastern quadrant of the state into Far East central OK and western Arkansas.   Areas along and east of this line will have a 20% chance of afternoon showers.  

A cold front positioned north of the area this morning will slide into northern OK later today and pass almost the entire state Wednesday morning to midday.   We’ll experience northeast winds today and tomorrow but the slightly cooler air will not arrive until Wednesday.   Today’s highs will move back into the lower or mid-80s along with a sun-cloud mixture across eastern OK.  

As the front moves southward slightly cooler air will move across the central plains and make an appearance into northern OK.   Wednesday morning lows in the lower 60s will be followed by highs in the upper 70s north and the lower 80s south.   We’ll see a few clouds but sunshine should be the main sky condition Wednesday.

Thursday into Friday more cool air will gradually sink southward.   Lows in the 50s and highs in the mid-70s Thursday and the lower 70s Friday will be likely.   The upper air flow Thursday and Friday will be from the northwest to southeast.   A disturbance both mornings will move near the area with a slight chance for showers or storms but at this point, the higher probability should remain to the west of the area.   We’ll keep only a slight mention Thursday and about a 20 to 30% chance Friday.

Later Friday evening, more so Saturday morning, another disturbance will move across the state providing the best chance for showers for northern OK.   The additional cloud cover combined with another surge of cooler air should keep temperatures around 50 for the low and lower 60s to mid-60s for highs.   I’ll also keep these cooler readings in the forecast for Sunday with a few early morning showers remaining near part of northern OK Sunday morning.

This weekend’s weather will be a nice taste of fall but we also see signs of another mild warm-up early next week with upper 70s and a few lower 80s possible by Tuesday into Wednesday.   

Thanks for reading the Tuesday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone

KOTV