Alan Crone's Weather Blog: Gradual Warming Trend Ahead

Tuesday, September 22nd 2015, 4:11 am
By: Alan Crone

The trough that was near eastern OK yesterday is now well east of the state.   Some patchy fog is possible this morning through the next several hours but the impact will remain low.   A few of the Hi-res runs are attempting to develop an isolated shower or two across extreme eastern Ok and western Arkansas today but the chance appears too low to mention.

Temperatures in the mid and upper 60s will rebound into the mid-80s today along with sunshine and south winds near 10 mph.   A few clouds may develop at times but sunshine should be the dominate feature for most of the area for most of the day.  

A disturbance located near the Baja region this morning will eject northeast across the desert southwest spreading moisture into the high plains of Texas and possibly western OK Wednesday.   Some of this moisture could move into eastern OK Thursday with a low chance for a few showers or storms.   The higher probability will remain west across the central and western part of the state Wednesday into Thursday.  I’ll continue to make a mention of the possibility but the chance will remain rather low for eastern OK.

An interesting pattern may develop later this week.   A long wave trough located across the eastern part of the nation may develop a closed low at the base of the trough Thursday and Friday.   This system may retrograde northwest Friday and this weekend.   The main impact for the central and southern plains would resolve around a nearly meridonaly or north to south flow Friday and Saturday.   This could drop a disturbance southward into the central plains near the state this weekend.   At this point, the data does bring the system near the region but does not develop any precipitation for the area this weekend.     This would bring a wind shift into the northeastern and eastern OK area Saturday and part of Sunday.   Northeast winds around 10 mph would be possible along with slightly cooler air into the lower 80s.  

Our forecast today will keep highs in the upper 80s along with mostly sunny and mild conditions.  South winds near 10 mph will be likely.   Temperatures tomorrow morning will start in the mid and upper 60s and end in the mid to upper 80s along with south winds near 10 mph.

Thursday a few showers or storms may be possible near and west of the area.   Lows in the mid-60s and highs in the mid-80s will occur with south winds near 10 mph.

Friday into Saturday expect partly cloudy and near normal conditions.  Lows in the lower 60s will be followed by highs in the lower 80s.    At this point, we’ll keep the weekend dry.

Thanks for reading the Monday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone