Tuesday Morning Update

Good morning.  We're looking at a mild weather pattern today, but the chance for showers and storms will return to the area later tonight into Wednesday as another wave approaches the region.  A boundary currently located south of the area this morning will lift northward as a warm front Wednesday with additional showers and storms possible near this feature.  Temps this afternoon will move into the upper 80s along with light winds and humid conditions.   There will remain a very slight chance of a shower or storm today across northern OK but the chance will remain near 20%.

 This morning some patchy fog is possible in a few locations across far southeastern Kansas and northeastern OK but visibilities for most locations will remain good.  Any fog will be short lived with mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions across the area later today.  Winds from the northeast this morning will back from the southeast later this afternoon in the 10 mph range.  A small area of thunderstorm activity is noted across far southwestern Kansas this morning.  This is moving eastward but is expected to dissipate before arriving into our immediate area.  

We're seeing signs of another storm complex developing tonight across the front range of the Rockies.  This complex may move southeast into part of southern Kansas and northern OK Wednesday morning.  The front currently to our south will also be lifting northward as a warm front Wednesday midday.  These two scenarios will keep the storm chances in our forecast at 60% for the Wednesday period with mostly cloudy conditions and highs in the mid to upper 80s. 

Thursday and Friday we can't rule out a few scattered showers or storms, but the chances should remain somewhat low.  But there is one exception.  Another small complex may develop late Wednesday night across Kansas and move into far northern OK Thursday morning.  While most of the operational model data would support a slight chance, the pattern would support a higher chance.  The EURO also supports a high chance.  We'll keep the chances around 30 to 40% Thursday with lessor probabilities Friday.  

This weekend amid level ridge of high pressure is expected to develop across most of the state.  This will keep the big systems away and help to increase our temps.  Morning lows in the 70s will be followed by afternoon highs in the lower 90s. Any showers or storms this weekend will remain highly isolated or confined to the top of the ridge across southern Kansas.  The probability will be 10% or less, and we'll keep these pops off the 7 day planner for today. 

We also see signals of a temp increase for the middle part of next week with daytime highs moving into the mid-90s!  

The official high in Tulsa yesterday was 83 recorded at 5:28pm.

The normal daily average high is 90 and the low is 70.

Our daily records include a high of 104 from 1933, 1922, and 1918.  The daily record low is 54 from 1974. 

You'll find me on Facebook and Twitter. 

I'll be discussing the weather on numerous Radio Oklahoma News network affiliates across the state through the morning hours.  

You'll also hear our forecast on Tulsa metro radio stations, including KMOD, The Twister, The Beat, and The buzz.   These stations are part of Clear Channel Communications. 

Thanks for reading the Tuesday Morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great and safe day!

Alan Crone

KOTV