Monday Morning Update

We've been dealing with some scattered thunderstorm activity this morning located across southern Kansas with mainly cloudy and warm conditions across northern OK.  This activity is not severe, but a few storms may produce some lightning and gusty winds along with moderate to heavy rainfall across southern Kansas for the next few hours.  The weather pattern will remain active with another chance of thunderstorms for northern OK and southern Kansas this evening and possibly overnight.  Some of these storms may be severe. 

The weekend has featured wonderful weather with Saturday afternoon highs in the lower to mid-80s and Sunday into the upper 80s and lower 90s.  Not bad for the last weekend in July.  

Our temperatures today will move into the upper 80s or the lower 90s along with mostly to partly cloudy conditions.  South winds will prevail around 10 to 20 mph for most locations.  A stationary boundary positioned from the northwest to southeast across northern OK may provide for a zone of enhanced rainfall potential this evening and overnight.  This boundary could also be the focus for some enhanced to severe thunderstorms later this evening as a complex of thunderstorm activity is expected to develop west of the region and move eastward.  Before this happens, there will be some scattered thunderstorm development today across central and eastern OK.  A few of these could be marginally severe, but the higher likelihood for severe weather will more than likely be confined to extreme northern OK and a large portion of southern and central Kansas near the boundary.  Some of the data suggest rain will be likely Tuesday morning across most of northeastern OK while others indicate the higher probability will remain along the state line into southern Kansas.  Because of the differing scenarios in the data, we'll keep a decent chance of Tuesday morning showers and storms in the forecast, but the higher probability could easily remain north along and north of the stationary boundary. This boundary will take another run southward as a cold front Wednesday before becoming diffuse Thursday.  Our temps by the end of the week will return to the mid-90s before a stronger front approaches the area during the weekend.  

The high in Tulsa yesterday was 86 recorded at 4:29am.

The normal daily average high is 94 and the low is 73. 

Our daily records include a high of 110 from 1986 and a low of 60 from both 2005 and 1969.

You'll find me on Facebook and twitter. 

I'll be discussing the state-wide and regional forecasts on numerous Radio Oklahoma News Network affiliates across the state this morning through the noon hour.    

Thanks for reading the Monday Morning Weather Discussion and blog.  

Alan Crone

KOTV