Friday Morning Update

Good morning!  Mostly sunny conditions will allow for highs in the mid or upper 90s today.  A few clouds will develop at midday with a very slight chance of isolated storms between 3pm and 8pm across extreme eastern OK.  There will be a slightly higher coverage today across the far eastern OK areas.  

The temperatures will continue to climb with afternoon highs expected in the mid-90s along with southwest winds around 10 mph.  A cold front will be arriving across southern Kansas and southwestern Missouri Saturday before stalling north of the state line providing us with a slight chance for a few showers or storms this weekend across the northeastern portion of the state and southeastern Kansas. We may have a few isolated storms Saturday across eastern Ok and western Arkansas due to daytime heating and the presence of an approaching easterly wave. The EURO seems to be the most bullish with this scenario and would seem possible with current observations. 

Yesterday was mainly dry for the area but we did see a few isolated storms across extreme southeastern OK.  I expect more of the same today and the coverage could be slightly higher due to the influence of an easterly type wave moving across the ArkLaTex region today.  Most of the thunderstorms associated with this disturbance will remain to the southeast of our immediate areas of concern, but some spots across Eastern, Southeastern OK and Northeastern TX may see some activity.   

The temps this weekend should remain in the lower to mid-70s for morning lows and daytime highs will reach the mid or even upper 90s Saturday and mid 90s Sunday.  Humid conditions will prevail with local dew point temps in the upper 60s.   

Early next week the data suggest a mid-level ridge of high pressure will be near the state allowing for mid and upper 90s but the positioning of the ridge will allow a northwest flow aloft to brush the southern Kansas and northern OK area.  A few storms will form north of the area by Tuesday but could drive southeast with time either Tuesday night or Wednesday morning.  We have been mentioning this slight probability for the middle of the week, but the odds of anything other than a few isolated storms remains extremely low.  The northwest flow aloft can lead to some surprises!  We may add a slight chance of precip for the middle of next week in subsequent forecast cycles.  Temps Tuesday and possibly Wednesday could reach 100.  

The official high in Tulsa yesterday was 96 recorded at 4:17pm.

The normal average high is 94 and the low is 73.

Daily records include a high of113 from 1936  and a low of 61 from both 1947 and 1906. 

Precip for the year is now 16.01 inches compared to normal precip to date of 23.81 which yields a deficit of -7.30 inches. 

You'll find me on Facebook and Twitter. 

I'll be discussing the forecast this morning on numerous Radio Oklahoma News Network affiliates across the state through the morning and midday hours. 

If you're going to be in the downtown area this morning, be sure and drop by the Guthrie Green.  We'll be broadcasting the entire 4 hour morning newscast from The Green and you're invited to attend.  The first 200 receives free Breakfast Parfaits from McDonalds. See you later today! 

Thanks for reading the Friday Morning Weather Discussion and Blog. 

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone

KOTV