Chance Storms Late Tonight, Hot & Humid Next Week.

The average temperature for this first week of June is running nearly 5 degrees below normal, and as you can see from the map on the right, this Saturday has started off pleasantly cool again. That is about to change though and you can wave these relatively cool temperatures good bye as much warmer, more humid conditions will be the general rule for the coming week.

Brisk southerly winds will return by this afternoon helping to push our afternoon temperatures into the mid 80s which is pretty close to normal. We will also have partly cloudy to at times mostly cloudy skies but we will be dry through the day today.

Our next good chance of showers/storms is expected late tonight, well after midnight, and through the morning hours of Sunday. A complex of storms will be forming in W KS this afternoon/evening and that will then be moving to the SE across the area first thing in the morning. The severe threat appears to be minimal by the time it gets into NE OK, but some local downburst winds cannot be ruled out that would cause localized damage. A weak surface boundary associated with this storm complex will then linger for much of the day Sunday resulting in a variable wind direction and possibly a few showers/storms reforming during the afternoon hours. Put all this together and temperatures will be close to normal with morning lows in the mid 60s and daytime highs in the mid 80s.

This system looks to be the last to impact our weather for quite some time as the flow aloft will be characterized by a building ridge of warmer, drier air settling over the state. That will effectively put a lid on all but one or two isolated showers/storms that could form in the more favored terrain areas over the course of the coming week. The chances of any one location receiving measurable rainfall will be less than 10% on any given day so have left the precipitation chances off the forecast graphics.

Brisk southerly winds will also be the general rule and with partly cloudy daytime skies and fair to partly cloudy nights, temperatures will be quite warm. The southerly winds and recent rainfall will ensure dew point temperatures will be in the upper 60s if not lower 70s at times. This means our nights will only be dropping into the 70s. This also means our days will be muggy with the heat index becoming a factor. Daytime high temperatures will be much above normal with values into the low-mid 90s each day, but the heat index will be pushing the 100 degree mark due to the combination of heat and humidity. This will be the first time this year we have experienced these conditions, so be careful with the outdoor activities as it takes time for the body to acclimate to this kind of weather.

Above normal temperatures and below normal rainfall chances are also expected to extend into the following week as well.

So, stay cool, stay tuned, and check back for updates.

Dick Faurot