Monday, May 14th 2012, 5:36 am
A weak upper level wave will traverse the southwestern and southern portion of the state today with a very slight chance of a few isolated storms in these areas. I will continue to keep the slight 10% pop on the map today for forecasting consistency and messaging from previous shifts. The pop will be confined to the southern portion of the viewing area.
Temperatures today will be moving to near 80 even though some computer model suggestions suggest we'll stay around 78. The trend will be for both daytime highs and morning lows to begin moving above average over the next few days with highs eventually topping out in the mid-80s by Friday into the weekend.
A weak short wave trough may approach the central plains Wed or Thursday but will have little impact on our sensible weather.
EURO and GFS data both suggest a weak boundary will near the state Sunday, but the outcome of this front remains a mystery at this point. The upper level system nearing the area by the weekend will be somewhat weak for May standards. The EURO brings the front across the area Sunday with a healthy storm chance while the GFS is about a day later with the system. I'll introduce a slight pop for the Sunday time period at 20% and we'll make adjustments with incoming data over the next few days.
Yesterday's high: 80
Normal high: 79 Normal low: 59
Record high: 93 from 1911
Record low: 44 from 1976, 1953, 1924
Sunrise today: 6:18AM Sunset today: 8:23PM
Precip Year to date: 12.22 Normally 12.97. A departure from norm of 0 .75.
May 14th, 2012
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