Happy Mother's Day! Mother Nature is certainly cooperating with a pleasant, if much warmer than normal day. Temperatures started off this morning running as much as 10 degrees or more above normal and we will end the day in much the same way, at least 10 degrees above normal. Normal temperature range at this time of year is 56/78 and we will not be anywhere close to those numbers till later in the week.
For today, Monday, and Tuesday, look for morning lows to only be in the upper 60s and lower 70s which is more typical of summer. Daytime high temperatures will be in the upper 80s and lower 90s which is more typical of early summer. We will also have relative humidity levels only dropping into the mid 40% range during the heat of the day and of course much higher at night when temperatures are cooler.
Gusty southerly winds will maintain these very warm and humid conditions right on through the day Wednesday when the next storm system will be approaching. Between now and then, an isolated storm or two is possible due to the combination of moisture and heating, but the chances are pretty much in the slim to none category.
That will change Wednesday into Thursday when an upper level system will be pushing across the state bringing more cloud cover and a good chance of showers/storms, some of which will likely be severe. The timing of the actual surface cool front remains questionable as does the weather for the several days that follow. The longer range guidance continues to differ from run to run and from model to model creating additional uncertainty regarding our precipitation chances after Thursday.
The way things stand for now, expect a good chance of showers/storms for Wed and into the day Thu. Lingering showers are not out of the question right on into the weekend although I am not showing any rain chances at this time. One thing that is for sure is that we will be returning to more seasonal temperatures on Thursday and will actually be somewhat cooler than normal leading into this coming weekend.
In the meantime, stay tuned and check back for updates.