Welcome back to winter!
We expect afternoon temperatures in the upper 40s or the lower 50s today and there will be a chance of showers and storms, but not for all locations.
The severe weather threat is low, but not exactly zero. A few of the stronger storms could produce some hail, but most of the activity will remain in the form of scattered showers and areas of rain later today. Northeast winds will be common this afternoon from 10 to 15 mph with cloudy conditions.
Another fast moving wave will be approaching Wednesday night into Thursday morning with a slight chance of a few scattered showers or storms through Thursday afternoon.
The upper air pattern will give us a break from Thursday evening through the weekend before another front rolls into the area either Sunday night or Monday of next week.
Temperatures Thursday through the weekend will also feature warmer air for both afternoon highs and morning lows. A southwest surface flow Sunday ahead of a strong front should allow us to reach the mid 80s! The fire danger will again be a big issue this weekend, more so on Sunday.
GFS and EURO data again offer different solutions for the extended. Surprise surprise.
I'll not dive into a lot of the differences, but let's just say the EURO would suggest we keep the winter coat handy for Tuesday and the GFS would offer some closer to normal weather. Would you like to vote on your model of choice?
I've heard a lot of grumbling the past few days about the colder air. Where's spring? Does this mean a long hot summer? Are there any correlations between a cold spring start and an active severe weather season? To give the short answer: Spring is still here. And I'm sure we'll have our normal hot summer. There are no correlations that I know of between a cold start to spring and an active severe weather season. The longer cold air stays around, the longer we stay away from significant severe weather!
I'm trying to get back into my HAM radio hobby. Years ago I bought an old HTX-10 meter from a flea market and never opened the box until this past week. Surprise: no DC power cord.
I could "whip one up" but would rather look for a manufactured cord with in-line fuse protection just to be safe. Are you amateur operator?