A Cool Wednesday

The storm system is now east of the area but clouds will continue to remain this morning for a few several more hours.  Dry air continues to slide across the state and clouds will eventually decrease from west to east allowing for some sun and cool conditions this afternoon with highs in the lower to mid 50s.  Gusty northwest winds at 10 to 20 mph will be common but wind speeds will also decrease later this afternoon.

 Dry air cools efficiently and we expect Thursday morning temperatures to be near freezing in many locations.  The west to southwest wind will return Thursday afternoon allowing afternoon highs to reach the upper 50s or lower 60s, and the lower 70s by Friday afternoon.

The fire danger will be extremely high Friday if the wind speeds verify. 

Another fast moving front will roll over the area Friday night into Saturday morning but the moisture will be located to our south across Texas.  No precipitation will be mentioned with this frontal passage.

 The front will move into the North Texas region and stall Saturday afternoon.  Sunday another upper level system will be approaching the western U.S. and pressure falls will occur across Eastern Colorado.  This will cause the front to move back to the north as a warm Front Sunday night into Monday morning.  As this process occurs, some shower or storm activity will be possible.  The EURO and GFS differ greatly on the upper level system for early next week.  The EURO is slower and the GFS is faster and open.  The EURO would support a wet Monday with cool air while the GFS would support a narrow line of storm activity Sunday night or Monday morning followed by improving weather conditions Monday afternoon.  I'm inclined to follow the GFS for the longer range data.  Usually the EURO is the superior model of choice, but the last few systems have been too slow and too deep from the EURO perspective but the GFS really hasn't been that much better.  Confidence will remain on the low side for next week.

 The track of the surface low yesterday remained just south of the Tulsa area. This kept us in the grunge with highs in the upper 40s and lower 50s while Southern OK moved into the upper 60s.  DFW had highs near 82 and a few tornado warnings were issued across the Red River Valley region of north Texas, including the Fannin and Lamar county areas.  Some damage was reported southwest of Paris yesterday afternoon, but no reports of significant damage or injury has been received.

 Next:

Baseball and gymnastics.

Our son is playing baseball and our daughter is enthralled with tumbling and gymnastics.  I'm amazed at the ease of motion they both display while doing their thing.  I can play catch with Cade for about 30 minutes before my back starts hurting.  Good thing Callie doesn't expect her dad to attempt the backhand spring. Now that would be fun.  At least once.  Then I could work from a hospital bed for about two weeks while in traction.  I can hardly bend over to put on my boots. 

Time is flying but I don't know if that's a good thing or a bad thing.  When I find out, I'll let you know. But by the time I figure it out, we may be out of time.

Thanks for reading and have a good day.

Forecast Confidence:

Now through Sunday: 9

Issues:  Timing and extent of clouds clearing the area for today.

Monday through Wednesday of next week:  6

Issues:  Timing and impact of several upper level systems.