Saturday, February 19th 2011, 8:33 am
When the day starts off by setting records for warmest overnight low, that tells you something about how unusual our weather has been this month. Not only that, but we will be close to setting records this afternoon as well as Sunday afternoon and will likely establish another record to start the day on Sunday. Look for daytime highs to be in the mid 70s both days along with gusty S to SW winds which will also create an enhanced fire danger. Fortunately, the humidity levels will be high enough to mitigate the danger somewhat and there might even be an isolated shower or two before the weekend is over.
It is those high humidity levels, which by the way will only be dropping into the lower 50% range during the heat of the day; along with gusty southerly winds which are keeping us from cooling off much at night. That will be the case again early Sunday morning when temperatures will only be dropping into the mid-upper 50s which will not only be a record, but is also much warmer than our normal daytime highs are at this time of year.
A cold front will be arriving Sunday night to bring us back to the real world and may even produce a few showers and possibly some thunder. The northerly winds behind the cold front will keep us in the 40s during the day Monday but we should have clearing skies. That will result in lows in the 20s by Tue morning followed by a return to much warmer than normal conditions until another cold front arrives during the day Thursday. This front may also produce some showers or storms and will be followed by cooler conditions once again.
The longer range guidance continues to waffle regarding the timing and strength of this cold front as well as its precipitation producing potential. So, there is more uncertainty than usual regarding the latter part of the coming week and the coming weekend.
In the meantime, stay tuned and check back for updates.
Dick Faurot
February 19th, 2011
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