Saturday, February 5th 2011, 10:22 am
The sunny start to our day will not last long as mostly cloudy skies will be the rule and another chance of wintry precipitation is back in the forecast for later tonight and Sunday. This next system does not look all that impressive at this time, but it could still cause some problems. It will not have much moisture to work with and the thermal profile aloft suggests there could be some sleet or freezing rain for the more southern counties of the state when the precipitation first starts falling. For the most part though, we are expecting just some light snow with this system with a dusting to perhaps an inch by the time it ends Sunday night.
Temperatures today and tomorrow should at least briefly get to the freezing mark if not a few degrees above. Monday is also expected to get into the lower 30s during the day along with mostly sunny skies and a return to a more south or SE wind. Unfortunately, that will just set the stage for the next significant storm system which will be moving in later Tuesday and through the day Wednesday.
At this point, the mid-week system does not appear to pack the punch of the blizzard of this past week, but there is reasonable agreement that it could still produce as much as 4-6? of additional snow along with locally higher amounts. Although the winds are not expected to be as strong as the recent storm, still a N to NE wind of 10-20 along with higher gusts will cause blowing and drifting and additional travel problems. The timing is still somewhat uncertain but it now appears that we could see some light snow developing by late in the day Tuesday becoming more widespread during the overnight hours and not ending till later Wednesday.
That system looks to be the last in the wave train that has created such unsettled conditions and the rest of the week going into the coming weekend should see gradually improving conditions. It will be cold, with possibly negative numbers again Thursday morning, but a more SW surface wind is expected to start a moderating trend that should get us back above the freezing mark going into the coming weekend.
In the meantime, stay warm, stay tuned, and check back for updates.
Dick Faurot
February 5th, 2011
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