OK, admit it…..if we are going to be wrong, this is the way to do it. Yesterday, a cool front was much later arriving than expected and we wound up with a pretty nice day. Today, the stratus cloud deck which looked to be formidable instead cleared out leaving us with a much more pleasant day than first thought. All in all, not a bad way to bust a forecast.
So, lets see if we can do any better this time around. Once again, all the evidence suggests a low stratus deck will be back in place by first thing Monday morning and once again it looks to be a persistent feature throughout the day. However, at least we will have a return to southerly winds, so even if we are overcast all day, temperatures will be relatively mild for this time of year. If we do get more breaks in the clouds than anticipated, then temperatures could end up well into the 50s.
Also, another cold front is on schedule for arrival during the Monday night or early Tuesday morning time frame. There will also be a slight chance of some light rain showers with this boundary late Monday and through the overnight hours and that is another reason we are expecting the clouds to hang tough tomorrow. If any showers linger long enough, there may be a brief period of wintry precipitation early Tuesday morning, but right now that appears to be a remote chance.
A much better chance of wintry precipitation still looks likely for Thursday. The guidance has been remarkably consistent over the last 24 hours or so and although some details still need to be worked out, I will be surprised if we do not end up with measurable snow by the end of the day. It is way to early to get too carried away with how much, but if current indications work out we will get at least as much as the last event if not a little more.
So, stay tuned and check back for updates.