Turning The Corner

Our storm system is well east of the region this morning but the cold air will stick around for the day. A deck of clouds will also continue through the early morning hours across eastern OK but should also move to the east by midday if not sooner.  We expect the sun to dominate later today with highs in the lower 50s.  The north wind will veer from the southwest later today as the surface ridge also moves eastward.  Low pressure will develop in the lee of the Rockies soon and this will allow the south wind to increase speeds Friday into the weekend.  The gusty wind and relatively dry vegetation will result in high fire danger as afternoon highs will be in the upper 60s Saturday and the lower 70s Sunday.  Bufkit data suggest stratus cloud cover may be present for most of the weekend, but we should have some afternoon sun at times. 

A few scattered showers and storms may be possible Sunday through Tuesday, but our main focus for next week remains the eventual outcome of a strong surge of cold air. I discussed this in detail yesterday and very little has changed in my thoughts regarding next week.  The second surge of cold air will be the main issue and there may be a possibility of some precipitation with this second surge of cold air. The model data will continue to flip and turn for the next few days before the sampling of the upper air data becomes more reliable early next week.  This mornings data suggest the precip will be east of the region before the really cold air blows into the region.  But yesterday's runs suggested some precip Thursday as the second surge of cold air moved southward.  We're just too early to nail down any specifics, but it continues to look like the coldest air of the season will be possible by the middle of next week. 

It's hard to imagine Thanksgiving is just a few days out! We'll be posting more about the Holiday forecast soon.