Active Weather Today

Thursday, July 12th 2007, 3:34 am

By: News On 6

Here we go again. What a forecasting headache! We have a lot variables in the forecast for the next 48 hours, but the bottom line: thunderstorms in the forecast. Iâ€™m short on time this morning, so Iâ€™ll skip some of the juicy details!

We enjoyed a nice break from the action yesterday, but the next 48 hours will be active.
A complex of thunderstorms continues to dive out of northwestern and central Kansas this morning. This decaying complex could arrive intact across portions of northern OK this morning bringing heavy rainfall, lightning, and some small hail and gusty winds.

Later this afternoon additional thunderstorms are likely to form over northern OK that would be strong to severe. Eventually these storms would form a complex and move southeast with time across the region bringing damaging winds and heavy rainfall.
There is a possibility of super cell development this afternoon that could also produce large hail and possibly a tornado or two. Needless to say, weâ€™ll be watching and monitoring weather conditions closely today.

The latest and greatest computer model data is throwing a knuckle ball at us by keeping an area of low pressure near the vicinity through at least Saturday morning. We originally have had Saturday clear of any mention of storms, but Iâ€™m leaning toward adding some thunderstorm probabilities into the mix for Saturday even though the higher chances should be to our south.

The extended remains active. The southerly surface flow kicks back into Sunday into Monday and more showers and storms will be likely across portions of eastern OK Monday into Tuesday. Summer? At least weâ€™re getting a break from the really hot stuff.

Alan Crone