Rain Chances Return Midweek

Another summerlike day is ahead of us with gusty southwest winds and temps back into the lower and mid-90s. Gusty southwest winds combined with low afternoon humidity will bring another increase in rapid-fire spread rates across the area. Please use all caution and avoid any activity that may start a grass fire today. The pattern is expected to change soon, and this will bring some rain and thunderstorms chances back to the region, beginning late Tuesday night and continuing occasionally through the end of the week. The chances will remain limited Tuesday into Wednesday despite some encouraging signals in some of the model suites and data. We do anticipate deeper and greater moisture arriving from the south by midweek corresponding with a closed low currently across the southwestern U.S. ejecting northeast and weakening some by Wednesday and Thursday. As this low opens and ejects into the central high plains, another mid-level low is expected to develop southwest of the state. It’s this feature that may bring additional rain and storms into part of the area Thursday through early weekend, but differences in the positioning of the low and some other important synoptic features will keep the confidence low for the weekend even though storm chances will remain for some locations.

Temperatures will be directly tied to increasing clouds and any localized precip events for the middle of the week, but no major cool-down is expected. Highs both today and Tuesday will reach the lower 90s, and then drop into the upper 80s Wednesday. Morning lows will remain in the mid to upper 60s Tuesday and nearing 70 Wednesday. Temps for the latter half of the week will feature morning lows in the lower to mid-60s and highs near the lower 80s Thursday and Friday and upper 70s to near 80 for the weekend.

Thanks for reading the Monday morning weather discussion and blog. 

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone

KOTV

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