TULSA, Oklahoma - A weak system is brushing the northern third of the state this morning bringing a few spotty showers to northern Oklahoma and southeastern Kansas this morning.   Moisture is very meager and precipitation amounts, if any at all, will be very light.   Northwest winds will develop and increase speeds later today from 20 to 35 mph.   The fire danger will remain elevated to high again today due to low relative humidity this afternoon and dry vegetation in some areas.   Red Flag warning criteria may be met for most of northern OK this afternoon.  The early information from NWS is that Red Flags will be hoisted today for portions of the area.  Daytime highs will max out in the mid-70s this afternoon.

The pattern will bring pleasant conditions for the rest of the week with another weak front clearing the area Thursday night.   This will bring some slightly cooler air into the area Friday with morning lows in the lower 40s (and upper 30s across the valleys of eastern OK) and highs in the upper 60s and lower 70s.   A surface ridge of high pressure will build across the state Friday bringing sunshine, light north winds, and wonderful weather to end of the work week.  Friday will be will the nomination for 5-star weather!

This weekend will see some changes in advance of a strong storm system that will bring rain and thunderstorm chances back to the southern and central plains.  

South winds will increase Saturday with lows in the mid-40s and highs in the mid-70s.   A warm front is expected to develop and move northwest across the area late Saturday night into Sunday morning.   This feature may trigger a few spotty showers or storms, but the coverage would be low, and mainly across the far northwestern or northern portion of the state.

Sunday a surface area of low pressure will develop across southeastern Colorado and will draw south to southeast winds back across the southern plains.   Low level moisture is expected to rapidly expand and a few showers or storms will be possible Sunday but most locations will remain dry until possibly Sunday night into Monday as the strong upper level system will swing near the state.   Thunderstorms are expected to develop and could be strong to severe before the system exits eastern OK Monday afternoon or evening.    The specifics of the system regarding exact locations and timings will be refined as the time domain in question draws closer and data becomes more stable.    Until late this weekend, enjoy the great stretch of spring-time weather.

Thanks for reading the Wednesday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone