A Nice Pattern Ahead For NE Oklahoma

The cold front that brought showers and storms to the region yesterday is now positioned well south of the area this morning. A few additional showers or storms may persist along the Red River Valley for a few hours this morning but should quickly end. The clouds we’re experiencing early this morning will also thin from the northeast to southwest quickly today with mostly sunny and pleasant weather likely. 

Dry air, in the form of lower dew point temps, will be moving into the area later today and should be more prominent for the 2nd half of the week into early this weekend. This means you’ll notice the difference with morning lows in the upper 50s and lower 60s Thursday and lower 60s Friday along with no appreciable heat index values through the end of the week. Southeastern OK will still have some slightly muggy weather today before the dry air arrives across these areas of the state later tonight.

Our big weather issue for the Friday and behind period will be the wild card tropical system that is emerging into the Gulf of Mexico later today. This system will have plenty of opportunities to strengthen to hurricane status and impact the southern Texas Gulf coast region Friday or Saturday. At this point, the exact track and trajectory upon landfall will be up for grabs. Most model data support the system remaining south and southeast of the eastern OK vicinity for the weekend and early next week. But we’ll more than likely see these solutions change, possibly significantly, over the next few days. 

If the system remains on its current consensus track, the eastern OK area would be very close to the subsidence portion of the circulation resulting in no rain and pleasant weather. If the system tracks slightly more northward before turning to the northeast, we’ll be in the running for one or two outer bands of showers this weekend across far southern and extreme eastern OK. 

Even if this occurs, the precipitation would remain rather sparse and only for a few areas due to the banding process. There is always a chance this system will defy the odds and move into north TX and southeastern OK with heavy rainfall. But this appears to be highly unlikely at this point. As the system ejects away from the state early next week, we’ll anticipate near or below normal temps remaining with pleasant weather for most of the week. We’ll keep very low mentions of precip in the forecast for the weekend just to make sure everyone understands the scenario we’re dealing with for the next few days.

Thanks for reading the Wednesday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone

KOTV