Warm Afternoon Oklahoma, But Rain Moves In Soon

Wednesday, August 17th 2016, 4:03 am
By: Alan Crone

A few isolated showers or storms can’t be ruled out this morning across far southeastern OK and southwestern Arkansas but the chances will remain low for the rest of eastern OK for most of the day.   Some patchy fog may occur again this morning across part of eastern OK but the coverage should be smaller than yesterday.  We’ll see a few more clouds later today compared to yesterday with mostly cloudy conditions Thursday as the first of several disturbances attempts to produce some scattered showers and storms.   The active weather pattern will remain through the weekend into early next week with another noticeable cool-down this weekend.   The pleasant temperatures will remain for most of next week.

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A small wave will move from Texas into the southern sections of the state over the next 24 to 36 hours.   Scattered showers and storms will be possible with this feature with the higher chances for storms positioned across the southern and southeastern sections of the state.   We’ll have some scattered activity across the northeastern sections but the coverage will remain spotty.    A 40% chance should suffice for the Thursday period along with mostly cloudy conditions but there’s just enough support in some data for the 50-50 chance.   Lows Thursday morning near 70 will be followed by highs in the mid-80s.

WARN Interactive Radar

Friday the small disturbance will exit the area to our east as another northern stream system approaches the central plains states.   This will drive a surface boundary southward into the state sometime Friday night or Saturday with increasing storm probabilities into Saturday.   The data has converged on Saturday frontal passage but the main upper level trough should not clear the central plains until Sunday night.   This means we’ll need to keep some mention of precipitation in the forecast Sunday morning with the noticeably cooler air remaining across the area.   Temperatures this weekend will start in the lower 70s Saturday morning and end with highs in the 82 to 86 range.   Sunday morning lows in the mid to upper 60s are likely with highs in the lower to mid-80s.   We may continue to see clouds for most of the weekend.

Weather Alerts

The medium range “trends” continue to keep the excessive heat and humidity away from the state through most of next week with some additional storm chances by mid to late next week.

Thanks for reading the Wednesday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone