Once again, a storm complex located to our west will attempt to move eastward into northern OK this morning. Most data suggests that this activity will weaken once it nears the I-35 corridor region. I will keep a slight mention for some of this activity to reach northern OK this morning. Frankly, it’s a wait and see. The southern end of this complex should begin a gradually dive southeast and slide across the Red River into the Texoma Valley. Some locations across far southern OK may experience this decaying complex for a few hours.
Later today, storms will develop across part of the central plains. A few of these may dive down into southeastern Kansas and northern OK for a few hours tonight. If they do, severe weather would be possible, including the threat of large hail and damaging winds. Any storms that develop could produce heavy downpours due to the tropical like air mass across eastern OK. A layer of warm air aloft is expected to spread over a a large portion of the state today. This may keep most of the storms to our north.
Some data suggest another complex of storms may be possible Wednesday night across north central OK, but this appears unlikely at this point. But I will keep a slight mention in the forecast for a few isolated daytime storms with peak heating.
A mid-level ridge of high pressure, a typical feature for mid to late June, will build into the area from the west for the 2nd half of the week. This ridge will be elongated and may still allow a weak front to near the state late this weekend into early next week from the Missouri Valley. This will not bring any major relief other than lowering the temps a few degrees Sunday into Monday. By Tuesday, the boundary may be close enough to trigger a few showers or storms across the Kansas-Oklahoma state line region.
After the next 24 hours, the main focus will be the heat and humidity. Dew point projections and humidity forecasts combined with our expected range of daytime highs would be enough to trigger heat advisories for part of the area Wednesday through Friday. Highs will be in the mid to upper 90s. Morning lows will stay in the mid to upper 70s in the metro and the lower to mid-70s across the rural areas.
Thanks for reading the abbreviated version of the Tuesday morning weather discussion and blog.
Have a super great day!