Alan Crone Weather Blog: Warming Up

Monday, June 6th 2016, 3:53 am
By: Alan Crone

Pleasant weather will remain for most locations early this week before the heat and humidity begins increasing across eastern OK.   Some locations will record their first 90 degree readings of the year by the end of this week.  

The Saturday front opened the door for a relatively dry air mass to spread across the state and this will yield wonderful weather for the next few days before south winds increase the moisture back across the area.   The upper air flow will remain from the northwest for the next two days and this can always bring a few surprises to the area.   The data suggest a slight chance of a few storms tonight across far northwestern OK and southern Kansas, and then again Tuesday night into Wednesday across mostly the same areas.   It’s unlikely any storms of significance could survive the trip into eastern OK.   I’ll not include any pops in the forecast for our immediate area but will continue to monitor the date carefully for any signals of greater concern.

The flow will modify by midweek and become more from the southwest by late in the week.  This will bring a weak disturbance across the central plains this weekend that could trigger a few storms Saturday or Sunday with the slightly better chance Sunday night into Monday.   A stronger short wave in the flow will pass across the central plains next Tuesday.  This will more than likely drive a surface cold front into the northern third of the state by the middle of next week with a few storms. 

The temperatures this morning will remain pleasantly cool with lows in the upper 50s and lower 60s.  Some patchy fog is possible across part of NE OK and NW Arkansas this morning.  Highs will be in the mid-80s both today and Tuesday with pleasant afternoon humidity values.   Light northwest winds are expected today and light northeast breezes tomorrow. 

South winds will increase Tuesday night into Wednesday and will bring deeper low level moisture across Texas into central and eastern OK in the form of lower to mid-70 dew point temperatures.   The result will be increasing heat index values moving into the mid and upper 90s Thursday into Saturday.   The actual temperatures will be in the lower 90s with morning lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s by the end of the week.

Thanks for reading the Monday morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone