Dick Faurot's Weather Blog: Cooler Tuesday, Then Warmer

After a cold start this morning, we warmed up nicely this afternoon, as you can see on the max/min temperature map, courtesy of the OK Mesonet. To put things in perspective, the normal max/min for Tulsa at this time of year is 47/27 and the record book for today will show 49/21.

Tuesday looks to be a little closer to normal to start the day with the clear skies tonight and light winds shifting to a more northerly direction towards morning. That wind shift will mark a weak boundary moving across the state and the northerly winds behind it should offset the sunshine enough to knock temperatures down a few degrees from today, as you can see on our forecast page.

Not for long though, as a SW breeze returns Wednesday along with lots of sunshine and that combination should push our daytime highs into the 50s. Thursday will be warmer yet, but early morning cloud cover may prove troublesome regarding how much we can warm up that afternoon. If those clouds burn off quickly enough, a brisk southerly breeze should help push daytime highs well into the 50s and perhaps even the 60s.

A stronger cold front will arrive by early Friday morning, and Friday may turn out to be one of those days with warmer morning temperatures than what we will have during the afternoon. There will not be much moisture for this system to work with, though, so will only go with a 20% chance of some drizzle or a few light showers. Temperatures should still in the 40s so any precipitation will be liquid.

The weekend looks to be colder, but dry, with a re-enforcing surge of cooler air arriving by Monday. Again, there will be more cloud cover by then as a weak wave aloft moves over the state, but it still looks to be very weak and with not much moisture to work with; as a result, will carry only a minimal chance of wintry precipitation for early next week.

Notice the 7-day QPF map which has us pretty much high and dry through that time span. That is certainly subject to change, but, for now, appears very reasonable.

In fact, extending out to the 8-14-day time frame suggests little in the way of active weather as well. Also, even though this coming weekend into the early part of next week looks cold, temperatures should be moderating after that leading to near normal temperatures on average during that time span.

So, stay tuned and check back for updates.

Dick Faurot