Dick Faurot's Weather Blog: Chance Of Showers/Storms Tonight, Then Warmer

As you can see on the statewide rainfall map for today, courtesy of the OK Mesonet, the rains have not amounted to much. However, the clouds associated with the light showers have at least helped to hold temperatures down. Notice on the max/min temperature map for today that the warmest temperatures occurred where the most rain fell. The reason for that is those showers were early in the day and the skies cleared by afternoon whereas the clouds associated with the system have been over the eastern counties pretty much all day.

At any rate, there will be at least a chance of another round of showers and perhaps even some thunder for the overnight hours and into the morning of Saturday. That system will be moving on eastward as well with some lingering showers possible into the afternoon for the more eastern counties. There will also be a weak wind shift line moving into the state with light southerly winds shifting around to light northerly. But not much, if any, temperature change is anticipated with that weak system. In fact, by Sunday, the boundary should be diffused enough for our winds to be back to a light southerly direction and southerly winds are then expected throughout the coming week.

Also, after tonight and into the day Saturday, our chances of any rain of consequence will be hard to come by. Cannot rule out an isolated shower/storm on just about any given day throughout the forecast period, but the chances look to be generally in the slim to none category as you can see on our forecast page.

That leaves us with temperatures as the primary forecast variable, and since the coming week looks to have a stable pattern, then little day-to-day change is anticipated. After the sun comes out Saturday afternoon, we should have partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies throughout the coming week. As a result, temperatures will be generally at or a bit above normal for this time of year. That translates into low 90s during the day and around 70 each night.

As mentioned in the blog yesterday, we have been below normal all but two days since Aug 11, and, as a result, the month as a whole now stands at more than 3-degrees below normal. However, the pattern going into the first week of September certainly supports above normal temperatures and the 8-14-day outlooks also support above normal temperatures during that time frame.

So, the relatively cool end to the month of August will be followed by warmer than normal temperatures for the first two weeks of September the way things look now. Also, the stable weather pattern does not support any organized chances of showers or storms so, at best, only a few spotty showers/storms are anticipated through that time period as you can see on the 8-14-day graphics.

In the meantime, stay tuned and check back for updates.

Dick Faurot