Dick Faurot's Weather Blog: More Rain, Heavy at Times


Tuesday, May 19th 2015, 8:37 pm
By: News On 6


Here we go again. Rain, heavy at times, along with some embedded thunder and a slight chance of a few severe storms is spreading across the state and will be moving on eastward through the overnight hours. The primary concern remains the potential for additional flooding as another 1-2” of rain will be possible by morning. Notice the QPF map valid through tonight and tomorrow, for example.

Fortunately, this system will be moving on eastward by morning with some lingering showers to start the day, but we should be dry for the afternoon and most of the day Thursday.

Then, another round will start up, with multiple chances of showers/storms beginning on Friday and continuing right on through the Memorial Day weekend, through Memorial Day itself, and beyond.

Notice the 7-day QPF map and you can see that by the end of that period, there is the potential for additional heavy rains and flooding issues along with the potential for some severe storms.

Not only that, but notice the 8-14 day outlook, which also keeps an active pattern in place through the end of the month and into early June. Quite a contrast to the last five years as you can see by the rainfall comparison graphic.

Temperatures will also be impacted as you can see on our forecast page, with the clouds and periods of showers/storms keeping our daytime highs generally below normal for the rest of the week and then to near normal conditions for early next week. Our normal daytime high at this time of year would be near 80 and the normal overnight low near 60.

S to SE winds tonight should keep temperatures for the most part steady and may even rise somewhat by early morning. But, our winds will be shifting back to the N/NE during the day as the showers exit to the east and NE to E winds on Thursday will also contribute to below normal temperatures.

By the weekend, gusty southerly winds will return, which will result in warm, humid conditions and overnight lows in the 60s. But, the clouds and showers/storms should keep daytime highs in the 70s with possible a few low 80s mixed in.

Sunshine will be hard to come by, but a few breaks will be possible Wednesday afternoon and perhaps some sunshine, at times, on Thursday before the heavier clouds return for Friday and following days. Actually, that is a good thing as the cloud cover keeps temperatures from warming too much and provides at least a bit of a lid on the instability and the production of severe weather.

However, having said that there will still be the potential for a few storms to become severe, particularly this weekend and into next week. After all, this is May.

So, stay tuned and check back for updates.

Dick Faurot