Tracking Several Fronts

Monday, January 19th 2015, 4:15 am
By: Alan Crone

Good morning.  We'll be tracking several cold fronts for the next 7 days that will bring some colder air back to the state.  The precipitation chances, while not zero will remain low for the majority of the eastern Oklahoma area, but I do anticipate some locations receiving some light precipitation.

The warm weekend weather brought enhanced fire danger conditions to the state yesterday with several large wildfires reported during the afternoon.   The fire danger will be elevated today, but should not be as high as yesterday.   Temperatures this afternoon will move into the upper 60s to near 70 with northwest winds around 5 to 12 mph.   A cold front will move across the state later tonight.  Temperatures tomorrow morning should start in the lower to mid-30s and finish up in the mid 50s tomorrow afternoon, still above the seasonal average, but cooler than the previous few days.  

Tuesday midday to early afternoon, some data suggest a weak upper level wave could travel across the central and southern plains bringing a slight chance of some very light precipitation to southeastern Kansas, and possibly far northeastern OK.   This chance will be around 20% for locations from Tulsa to the OK-Kansas state line area.  

Wednesday into Thursday we anticipate additional cold air to flow southward across the central plains and reach the state.   This should knock the numbers down again with Wednesday and Thursday morning lows near freezing.   Wednesday afternoon highs will reach the lower 50s and Thursday should stay in the mid to upper 40s with variations of north winds.

Thursday an upper level system will also be approaching the southern plains, but data continues to suggest the majority of this system will take the southern route across Texas with a large area of rain over the Lone Star State.   We should see some light precipitation across the far western sections of the state into the southwestern area of the Red River Valley region.   There may be some very light precip early Thursday near or southwest of the Tulsa metro for a short window of opportunity, but the chance will remain very low. 

Temperatures to round out of the work week will remain cool but not excessively cold.  Morning lows will stay in the upper 20s and lower 30s followed by daytime highs in the upper 40s to mainly lower 50s.

Thanks for reading the Monday Morning weather discussion and blog.

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone