Friday Morning Update

Friday, January 17th 2014, 4:39 am
By: Alan Crone

This is like the movie Groundhog Day!  We're repeating this cycle over and over!  The upper air flow remains active and continues to bring frontal passages across the state, including another fast moving wave this morning and tomorrow.  The result today will be colder air with morning lows in the upper 20s followed by afternoon highs in the mid or upper 40s.  The good news continues to be a decent warm up for the weekend with some spring-like readings expected both Saturday and Sunday.  

The colder air mass is located across southeastern Kansas and northeastern OK this morning, but the deeper and more frigid conditions will remain to our northeast.  Morning lows in the teens are underway in places like Kansas City and St Louis.  Afternoon highs in these locations will stay in the upper 20s or lower 30s.  Our cold air mass will quickly modify today with highs in the mid or even upper 40s.  The winds will be relatively light this morning and increase speeds into the 10 mph range this afternoon. 

The weekend features a robust warm up.  Lows in the upper 20s and lower 30s both days will be followed by Saturday highs in the lower 60s and Sunday highs nearing 70.  The locations east of 69-75 may stay in the mid-60s Sunday while Tulsa to the west gets closer to the upper 60s near 70 marks.  We continue to be well above the computer model guides for the Sunday numbers.  Confidence is not exactly high, but we're sticking with the warmer readings until it's obvious we need to punt on 4th down!  Southwest winds will be increasing in the 15 to 25 range Sunday afternoon.  The low humidity, dry vegetation, and gusty winds will once again create a high fire danger.  Wild fire growth would be fast Sunday afternoon.  Please use caution.

The southern stream will move a disturbance closer to the area early next week but the quality low level moisture remains well southeast of our area.  Therefore no precipitation chances will be in the forecast for the next 7 days.   

We do anticipate another surge of arctic air to move into the nation Tuesday into Wednesday, but the current trajectory would keep most of this air mass to our northeast.  We will experience a cool down Tuesday into Wednesday.  The pattern may finally change by the end of next week into next weekend.  We shall see!

The official high in Tulsa yesterday was 57 recorded at 1:19pm.

The normal daily average high is 48 and the low is 27.

Our daily records include a high of 73 from 1952 and a low of -3 from 1930. 

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Have a wonderful day! 

Alan Crone