The map on the right is an updated QPF map valid through Sunday evening. Notice it suggests at least the potential for some locations to receive an inch or more of welcome rain. The most likely time frame for those rains to occur will be later tonight and through the morning hours of Sunday. That will be in advance of a cool front which should be arriving by mid-day with a few lingering showers into the afternoon hours. This one of those situations in which the chances of it raining anywhere are 100%, but it is not going to rain everywhere. As a result, the chances of any one location receiving measurable rainfall is on the order of 50% and along with that comes the potential for up to an inch or so for some lucky folks.
I say lucky folks because the forecast after that is pretty much dry for the rest of the coming week and quite likely through the coming weekend. There may be a few showers linger into the day Monday or Monday night as the front stalls out and gradually becomes diffuse, but beyond that time frame it is hard to see anything coming along that would provide a decent shot at more rain.
Temperatures will be a little milder due to the cloud cover, shower activity, and a shift to northerly winds. By the way, we may get lucky and have some breaks in the clouds in time to see the partial solar eclipse Sunday evening, but don't count on it. Mostly cloudy skies will be the general rule. As far as temperatures go, we will still be above normal with lower 80s expected Sunday after starting the day in the 60s. Monday and Tuesday morning will be a little more pleasant with lows in the lower 60s Monday morning and the upper 50s Tuesday morning. N and NE winds will hold our daytime temperatures to around 80 for Sunday and Monday, but a return to southerly winds on Tuesday will start another warming trend.
By the latter part of the week, daytime highs will likely be flirting with 90 again and our overnight lows warming into the upper 60s to near 70. Strong, gusty southerly winds will also be returning by later in the week so it will be quite warm and windy to end the week. Historically, Memorial Day weekend has had some nasty storms in years past, but the longer range guidance right now does not suggest anything like that this time around.
So, stay tuned and check back for updates.