Warm & Humid, Chance Storms.

Notice the QPF forecast on the right which is valid through Tuesday morning of next week. All indications continue to point to what is shaping up to be a drought breaking rainfall event for much of the state. There are still a lot of questions that remain to be answered with this particular system regarding its exact path, intensity, and the timing of the main storm center, but it certainly has the potential to be a very wet system. Keep in mind, this QPF only goes into Tuesday morning and current indications suggest it will be lingering around for much of the rest of the week as well with additional shower and thunderstorm activity.

Also, keep in mind that the main storm center is located in the N Pacific Ocean at this time and has yet to be adequately sampled by the observational network. Therefore, lots of wiggle room is still in the forecast regarding much of the week of Spring Break.

Between now and then, much above normal temperatures will be the general rule with overnight lows at or above record levels and daytime highs generally in the 70s or lower 80s. Brisk southerly winds will keep the very warm, humid conditions over the state right on through the weekend along with mostly cloudy skies and some occasional sunshine. There will also be a slight chance of a shower or storm for Fri-Sun, but the chances look to be only on the order of 20% or so for any given day. As mentioned, that will be changing for next week though with rain likely beginning on Monday and possibly continuing through Friday.

In addition to the potential for locally heavy rainfall, there will also be a threat of severe storms with all modes possible before the week is out. So, Spring break week is looking very unsettled to say the least.

In the meantime, stay tuned and check back for updates.

Dick Faurot