So you think it has been windy today? As the map on the right shows, courtesy of the OK Mesonet, that is an accurate perception. Gusts above 30 mph have been common and gusts above 40 mph have occurred in a few locations. Those gusty winds will begin to subside after sunset tonight, but will still be on the order of 10-20 mph and gusty through the overnight hours. However, since they are from the south, that will keep temperatures on the mild side and most locations should stay in the 50s to start the day on Sunday.
A weak frontal boundary will also make it into the more northern counties during the day Sunday and the weaker pressure gradient will also keep the winds more subdued. A more S to SW wind of 10-20 mph ahead of the boundary and a more northerly wind component at around 10 mph behind the boundary will provide some relief from the winds. Also, since this is a rather weak boundary, temperatures will still be warmer than normal with daytime highs generally in the 70s on both sides of the boundary. A lack of support aloft will also keep us dry.
That will change for the more SE counties on Monday as the boundary gets a stronger push into SE OK during the day and a more vigorous system aloft moves eastward across Texas. That combination should produce some showers and storms, primarily for the extreme SE counties for late Monday and Monday night. Lingering clouds and a few showers into Tuesday morning will be followed by clearing skies during the day. Northerly winds will cool us off and it will be cooler as high pressure builds back into the state for Wed and Thu.
Not for long though as the surface high slides on eastward allowing our surface winds to return to a more S to SE direction. A warming trend will begin on Friday which should continue through the coming weekend. Those southerly winds will become rather gusty beginning on Friday and will return enough moisture for a slight chance of rain by later Saturday. Right now, there is conflicting guidance regarding the Sun-Mon time frame as one of the longer range products brings in more showers/storms and another one keeps us basically dry. Will take a wait and see approach before committing one way or the other as these issues usually resolve themselves as later and better data becomes available.
In the meantime, stay tuned and check back for updates.