Expect highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s with sunny conditions. The fire danger will remain elevated across the area.
We're flirting with some record lows this morning across Northern OK and Southern Kansas due to clear sky, light wind, and dry air. The Tulsa metro may set a new record by surpassing the old record low temperature of 52 from 1974. Some upper 40s will be possible in the valleys for the next hour northeast of Tulsa before the warming process kicks into gear with highs moving into the lower 80s.
The pattern is not expected to change dramatically through the next five days as a surface ridge of high pressure centered over the Midwest circulates cool and dry air across the region. Despite the cooler air, the fire danger will continue to be elevated. Please use caution.
The mid level ridge of high pressure is located across the southwestern Arizona and Mexican plateau region. This creates a favorable upper air flow for bringing storm systems into our area, but the low level moisture is suppressed into the Gulf of Mexico. A weak upper level system will move across the state beginning late tonight through tomorrow. This should promote a few more clouds across the area tomorrow. Any showers should be confined to the far northwestern part of the state and would be very brief.
Friday and Saturday the model data continue to support a low pressure area to move slightly westward from the eastern sections of the nation. This is a very unlikely scenario at this point, but if the data continues to offer this solution, we'll more than likely add a slight chance of showers for Eastern OK and Western Ark this weekend.
The hot stuff:
We're all enjoying the big break from the historic heat wave, but the question will remain: Are we finished with the hot stuff? The short answer is yes. But the long answer centers on your definition of "hot stuff".
It will be unlikely that we'll move back into the 100 degree readings, even though our weather history does support a 100 degree day in late September.
It will be very likely that we'll move back into the lower 90s for a while.
But for the next 6 days, our temperatures will be below normal, including the morning hours.