Except for those gusty northerly winds, this certainly has been a pleasant Labor Day. And the best part is we can expect some great early fall weather for the rest of the week. In fact, temperatures by early Tuesday morning will likely be close to record lows and not the warm record lows we endured much of the summer. The record for Tuesday morning here in Tulsa is 52 and that is what we are forecasting. Would you believe some of the cooler valley locations should be in the 40s to start the day. As a reminder, the first day of September we set a record morning low of 82 degrees…..quite a change indeed!
As mentioned, this beautiful weather will be with us all week long. Temperatures will be slow to moderate as our winds will remain from a general N to NE direction, although not as strong as the last few days have been. That will mitigate the fire danger somewhat, but the low humidity levels and the dryness of the soil and the vegetation could still create some fire danger problems. Speaking of dry soils, that is still a problem and is not likely to improve anytime soon. Notice the soil moisture map on the right courtesy of the OK Mesonet. Obviously, most of the state is extremely lacking in soil moisture with only a few spotty locations showing any moisture of consequence at the 2 inch level.
By the weekend, we should start seeing a few more clouds in the sky but our rain chances still appear to be in the slim to none category. One caveat to that is the eventual position of the remnants of TS Lee. The upper level circulation associated with the remnants of Lee is expected to become cut-off from the general circulation and will be wobbling around. Some of the longer range guidance allows it to drift back west, possibly far enough west to even produce a few showers for our more eastern counties by the weekend. Right now, that is just a remote possibility but something we will be keeping a close eye on.
So, enjoy this beautiful weather, we have certainly earned the right.