Showers and storms will be likely this morning across portions of northern OK. The system will be exiting by noon to 1pm. Afternoon highs will range from the upper 50s to the lower 60s with decreasing clouds late this afternoon. Nice weather is expected tomorrow through Friday.
What a wild evening and early morning. A major severe weather outbreak is taking a respite before cranking back up later today well to our east. The preliminary reports of tornadoes last night stand at 40 and additional tornadoes will be likely today across a large portion of the mid south. Another HIGH risk day will unfold across portions of Northern Alabama with a moderate risk of severe weather for a large portion of the mid south. I don't have the time this morning to highlight all of the damage reports but major tornado damage has been reported in a few locations in Texas and Arkansas.
We'll see scattered showers and storms for the next few hours across the northern third of the state before the surface low moves to far northeast to impact our area. We are on the back side of the system but some additional showers will remain for a few more hours. The system currently is void of lightning, which is a little surprising. Colder air aloft should also support some scattered small hail production, but as of this early morning hour ( 4AM) no hail is indicated. The SPC meso analysis page indicates a H5 temp of around -18 over central OK. I expected this to be around -22 or so. We'll keep watching, and just be aware that a few hailers cant be ruled out this morning. The surface boundary is well to our southeast and some severe storms may be possible this morning across Northeast Texas and extreme SE OK.
The clouds and gusty northwest winds will keep our daytime highs around 58 to 61. The clouds will begin slowly clearing later today from the west to east as the scattered showers and possible storms exit the state around noon. Super nice weather will be expected Thursday and Friday before another system arrives Saturday night with another chance of strong to severe storms.
Daytime highs Thursday will be near 74 with highs Friday in the lower 80s.
The extended data continues to flip on how fast or slow the boundary will move this weekend with the GFS being the faster compared to the EURO, but the GFS is now coming around to a slower and stronger solution. This means rain chances will be extended into Sunday, including the possibility of strong to severe storms late Saturday night and pockets of heavy rainfall through Sunday midday or so.
Thanks for reading my little blog-slash-weather discussion.
I'm running a little behind the inter-office schedule this morning and will attempt to add some additional information later today. Take the jacket today and remember: time is a gift....use it well.