Friday, March 18th 2011, 7:07 pm
What a difference a day can make. Notice the 24 hour temperature change map of Oklahoma on the right. Obviously the cool front came through more quickly than was indicated 24 hours ago, but with little other fanfare than the temperature change. Still little or no rain with the system although we will have a chance of showers and possibly even some thunder over the next 24-36 hours or so.
NE winds overnight and the cloudy skies will result in temperatures dropping into the mid 40s which is still warmer than normal. The front will stall out tonight and start moving back north as a warm front on Saturday with brisk easterly winds north of the boundary and a return to southerly winds south of the boundary. This will produce a rather tight temperature gradient with the warm sector seeing temperatures well into the 70s and perhaps even near 80 for Saturday afternoon. North of the boundary, temperatures will hold in the upper 50s and lower 60s, so obviously your location relative to the boundary will make a big difference in what kind of temperatures you will have.
Along and north of that boundary as it moves northward is also where the best chances of any showers or possible thunder will occur. Conditions aloft are such that a few storms could produce some hail, but other than that this is not a severe weather type setup. At least we will have a chance for rain later tonight and through the day Saturday. By Saturday night, any shower or storm activity will be confined to Kansas and moving on northward. Your chances of getting wet will be on the order of 40% and most of what falls will be very light, but those locations that do get a thunderstorm could pick up as much as ½ inch.
After that, it is back to warm and windy conditions with Spring officially arriving late Sunday afternoon. Gusty southerly winds will push temperatures back to near 80 for Sunday and into early next week and along with that comes a fire danger threat once again. Another cool front is still on schedule to arrive Tuesday night, but does not appear to be much of a rainmaker at this time. It will cool us off once again for the latter part of the week.
So, stay tuned and check back for updates.
Dick Faurot
March 18th, 2011
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