Monday Morning Weather

Monday, February 14th 2011, 5:33 am
By: News On 6

Did you enjoy the nice weather this weekend?  Despite the two significant winter storms, I still love winter and everything that comes with it.  But I must admit the weather this weekend hit the spot with pleasant temperatures and plenty of sunshine.  I would love to tell you the entire week will be twice as nice, and even though we're still looking at nice weather for the next few days there will be a few wrinkles in the forecast. 

Last Thursday and Friday the GFS data was supporting low level moisture returning across the area in the form of light showers Tuesday and Wednesday.  I ignored this solution last week, thinking the data was overplaying the moisture return and not able to adequately account for the snow pack.  But the signal has been consistent and we have a chance of some light precipitation Tuesday and Wednesday.   This may be more in the form of morning fog and drizzle than real deal showers.  But first, a weak boundary will slide across the area today allowing for afternoon highs in the mid 50s near Tulsa with a north wind at 10 to 15 mph.  Temperatures across the southern third of the state will move into the mid 60s.   The boundary will return northward Tuesday in response to another upper level system getting closer to our area.  Low level moisture will return rapidly across the region with clouds, some drizzle or mist, or possibly some light showers.

 Temperatures will continue to move upward Wednesday and Thursday eventually hitting the lower or even mid 70s Thursday. 

Another boundary will move across the area pre-dawn Friday with an upper level system approaching.  This will result in an unsettled led pattern into the weekend with a chance of scattered showers or even thundershowers Sunday with temperatures near normal.

 The snow pack will continue to slowly erode across far northeastern OK but areas near and south of Tulsa will disappear quickly today and tomorrow.

 Enjoy today, but fog may become a real issue Tuesday morning and Wednesday morning as moisture returns across the area.