Its back to warm weather area wide today before active weather arrives for some, but not all locations this weekend.
The front remained draped across northern Tulsa County yesterday afternoon and created a wild temperature gradient from the north to south. Locations around Bartlesville and southern Kansas remained in the 60s while southern Tulsa stayed in the mid to upper 70s for the afternoon after hitting the lower 80s during the morning. Southern Tulsa county moved into the mid-80s. Northern Tulsa County dropped from the lower 80s to around 75 for the afternoon. The Oklahoman panhandle had wind chill values yesterday afternoon in the 40s while the heat index across extreme southeastern Oklahoma was near 100. Just another typical early fall day in Oklahoma!
The boundary will lift northward later this morning and the warm air will advance area wide. Highs will reach the mid to upper 80s for all spots today along with gusty south winds. The metro could be flirting with another 88 or 90-degree afternoon. Friday night football will be fine across eastern Oklahoma.
The multi-day weather system will be bringing the first wave of energy across the state Saturday while the surface boundary will again move southward. This front will either stall along the I-44 corridor tomorrow afternoon or could move slightly southeast of the metro before stalling and creating another wild temperature gradient across the area. Most locations will top out in the upper 70s and lower 80s but locations to the northwest may drop into the 60s by the afternoon.
The precip forecast remains problematic. It sure appears to me that most of the precip Saturday will remain slightly west or northwest of our immediate areas for most of the day. But even a jog eastward by 30 miles would place us in the rain. I think I have little choice expect to continue our high pop forecast for Saturday. Locations near and east of the metro could remain dry for most of the day while spots near and west will be wet. By late Saturday, the potential for showers or storms to develop slightly eastward should also arrive. This will also be covered by our main pop of 60 percent.
Sunday morning additional showers are likely to develop along and north of the boundary with yet another upper level disturbance arriving around the base of the main trough to our west. This should also allow the front to lift northward through day. Some locations across extreme southeastern or extreme eastern Oklahoma could remain dry for the entire weekend.
Monday into Tuesday the first chunk of rain will remain to our west and we will have relatively low chances until Tuesday evening into Wednesday when heavy rainfall will advance eastward across our area.
The actual front may briefly cross us Wednesday before another system develops later next week. The GFS is developing a major surface low Friday while the EURO is a day late but with a much weaker system.
Welcome to the crazy fall pattern.
Thanks for reading the Friday morning weather discussion and blog.