Mighty Fine Fall Weekend

Certainly a pleasant day today with temperatures a little closer to normal for a change.  So far for the month of November, temperatures are running about 9 degrees above normal and for today the official max/min has been 68/44 which compares to the normal values of 63/42.  As you can see from the statewide max/min temperatures, the rest of the state also enjoyed a very pleasant day.

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Brisk northerly winds this afternoon behind a weak cool front will diminish overnight and become more E/NE by morning.  Together with the clear skies tonight that should result in another chilly start to the day with morning lows that are expected to be in the upper 30s for the more N/NE counties to lower 40s for the more S/SW counties.  If so, that could result in some patchy frost for the normally cooler, more protected valley locations in NE OK.  The main caveat is that the dew points are still in the 40s but should be dropping through the night as well.

That will be followed by a somewhat cooler day on Saturday with a light E/NE wind offsetting the full sun somewhat and keeping afternoon temperatures closer to normal with highs expected to be in the lower 60s.

Sunday morning may be frosty for some locations as well with light winds and clear skies and temperatures expected to be in the upper 30s.  Expect a brisk southerly wind during the day and also more cloud cover and that combination should result in daytime highs in the upper 60s.

After that, as you can see on our forecast page, temperatures will be much warmer than normal for much of next week with daytime highs back into the 70s and our nights only in the 40s or even the 50s by Thursday morning.  However, we continue to see the longer range data bringing a much stronger cold front along about Friday of next week which may be followed by our first wide spread frost/freeze for that weekend.  Right now, this system looks to be moisture starved but could still wring out some showers/storms, particularly for the more eastern counties.  As you can see on the 7 day QPF, any moisture of consequence will be hard to come by over the coming 7 day period.

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However, the expected cool-down for next weekend should be short-lived with another warming trend as we enter the week leading up to Thanksgiving.  As for Thanksgiving Day itself, the current data runs suggest above normal temperatures but also a potentially more unsettled pattern with chances of showers/storms.  Notice on the 8-14 day outlook that we are more into the normal range for precipitation but the above normal category is just north of us, so that could easily shift with subsequent data runs.

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Normal temperatures for Thanksgiving Day are 57/36 and the current data runs suggest we will be warmer than that.  In fact, the 8-14 day outlook continues to paint a warm picture for the entire country.

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So, stay tuned and check back for updates.

Dick Faurot