Showers and storms during the course of the day today have once again dropped some locally heavy rains for a few locations, but most of us did not receive all that much. As you can see on the statewide rainfall map, the rains were widespread, but as has been the case lately, the system certainly underperformed with regard to the amount of rainfall. Quite frankly, that was a bit of a surprise but is consistent with trends for the last few weeks. At least the timing has turned out to be favorable for the Friday night football games tonight as most of the shower activity has or is moving out of the state.
For the rest of the night tonight, an isolated shower or two is still not out of the question, but most of us should have a quiet night with temperatures dropping into the 60s by morning. Winds will be light and generally from a more N or NE direction. During the day Saturday, look for a mix of sun and clouds, but enough sunshine for afternoon highs to reach the mid 80s. Our winds will remain very light and primarily from the N or NE. An isolated shower or two will also be possible during the day, but another somewhat stronger system looks to be coming this way for the overnight hours and into Sunday morning.
That system will likely set off scattered showers/storms out west late Saturday which would then be moving our way as we go into the overnight and Sunday morning time frame. A few of those could be locally quite strong, but the areal coverage still looks to be limited and primarily over the more southern counties, but that is why we are carrying a 20% chance on our forecast page.
After that system moves on eastward we expect more sunshine by Sunday afternoon and little or no mention of rain throughout the following week. A return to light southerly winds on Sunday and southerly winds for the rest of the week will keep us warm and humid, in fact much warmer than normal. According to the calendar, fall arrives this coming Thursday but it will certainly not feel like it with morning lows near 70 and daytime highs in the lower 90s. Also, heat index values will be well into the 90s during the heat of the day and that will be the case for much of next week. By way of reference, the normal max/min for the calendar start of fall is 81/59 and we will be about 10 degrees above both of those values.
After that, temperatures should start trending closer to normal as you can see on the 8-14 day outlook which takes us through the last week of the month. Closer to normal would still be a significant cool-down from where we will be for the coming week though. That time frame looks to have a better than average chance of additional precipitation as well.
In the meantime, stay tuned and check back for updates.