Alan Crone Weather Blog: Morning Showers And Overnight Storms

Monday, May 16th 2016, 4:09 am
By: Alan Crone

An area of shower activity continues early this morning across part of Northern Oklahoma and Southern Kansas.  Temperatures are currently in the 50s and we'll move into the upper 60s and lower 70s later this afternoon. The upper air pattern will bring a storm complex into the area late tonight through tomorrow morning before sending the cold front back southward across the state.  

A rather active pattern will remain for the week with periodic rain and storm chances.  This will keep our temperatures below seasonal averages this week before warming up this weekend.

Most of the weekend was very pleasant with temperatures well below the seasonal average. The rain held off until late last night and continues this morning in a few locations. This first wave will move eastward of the area by midday leaving us with mostly to partly cloudy conditions this afternoon and high temperatures in the lower 70s.

The upper air flow will bring a disturbance out of the Rockies quickly across Northern Oklahoma tonight. Storms will develop across the panhandle region into Northwestern Oklahoma this afternoon or late this evening. These storms will quickly form complex of thunderstorm activity and move East and southeast across part of our area.   This will more than likely result in a swath of strong to severe storms from overnight.   

Storms will more than likely remain strong to severe as they enter our immediate area of concern late tonight before weakening early tomorrow morning.

The primary threat would be damaging downburst of wind, pockets of heavy rainfall, and the possibility of some hail with the storms.   As the complex moves away from the area early tomorrow morning, north winds will develop and temperatures tomorrow afternoon will be in the upper 60s or low 70s.

Wednesday we may be in between storm systems but will keep a chance for a few spotty showers or storms in the forecast.   Temperatures Wednesday and Thursday morning we'll start in the 50s and end with daytime highs in the upper-60s near 70.

Thursday another weak looking system will be nearing the state with an increase in rain or storm chances for part of northern OK.   The stronger storms will more than likely be confined to Texas.   This system will exit the area sometime Thursday afternoon or late evening.   Friday we’ll keep a slight mention of showers near the area but the trend should be for precipitation chances to end.  

Temperatures will slowly warm up this weekend with morning lows in the upper 50s and lower 60s and daytime highs back into lower or mid-80s.    The weekend will remain dry for this forecast update cycle.

Thanks for reading the Monday morning weather discussion and blog. 

Have a super great day!

Alan Crone